Vanderbilt, Iowa and Wisconsin suffered devastating losses and have dropped in the latest bracket. In Vanderbilt's case, the Commodores dropped out. They had a mediocre résumé as it was and simply could not afford to take a bad loss, but they did to Tennessee. Now they must wait to see if the committee is forgiving on Sunday.
Iowa got upset by Illinois and has fallen to the No. 7 line after being a candidate for a No. 1 seed just a month ago. And Wisconsin is now the last No. 8 seed after a staining loss to Nebraska. Bubble teams Michigan, Alabama, Florida, Ohio State and George Washington kept slim hopes alive with victories. Duke drops a line with a second loss this season to Notre Dame, which jumped up to the No. 6 line.
Projections as of 10 a.m. ET on March 11.
Last four in: Monmouth, Wichita State, Tulsa, VCU
First four out: Florida, St. Mary's, Syracuse, Vanderbilt
Others considered for at-large bids (in order): Valparaiso, Michigan, Alabama, Ohio State, George Washington, Hofstra, Houston, Washington
No longer considered for at-large bid: UNLV, Louisiana Tech, Georgia State, Illinois, Northern Iowa, Texas-Arlington, Penn State, Richmond, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Mississippi, Auburn, Memphis, Wake Forest, Southern Illinois, Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Evansville, North Carolina State, Boise State, BYU, Northwestern, Middle Tennessee State, Georgia Tech, Marquette, Davidson, Arizona State, Georgia, Creighton, Florida State, Georgetown, Kansas State, Clemson, Stanford, UCLA, LSU
Moving in: Middle Tennessee State, VCU
Moving out: UAB, Vanderbilt
Multi-bid conferences: Big 12 (7), Pac-12 (7), ACC (6), Big Ten (6), Big East (5), AAC (4), A-10 (4), SEC (3), MAAC (2), MVC (2)
Leaders or highest RPI from projected one-bid conferences (22 total): Stony Brook (America East), Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun), Weber State (Big Sky), UNC-Asheville (Big South), Hawaii (Big West), UNC-Wilmington (CAA), Middle Tennessee State (CUSA), Green Bay (Horizon), Yale (Ivy), Akron (Mid-American), Hampton (MEAC), San Diego State (MWC), Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC), Austin Peay (Ohio Valley), Holy Cross (Patriot), Chattanooga (Southern), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), South Dakota State (Summit), Little Rock (Sun Belt), Texas Southern (SWAC), New Mexico State (WAC), Gonzaga (WCC)
Banned from participating: Alcorn State (SWAC), Florida A&M (MEAC), Stetson (Atlantic Sun) Central Arkansas (Southland), SMU (AAC), Southern Miss (C-USA), Pacific (WCC), Cal-State Northridge (Big West), Missouri (SEC), Louisville (ACC)
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney: Abilene Christian (Southland), Grand Canyon (WAC), Incarnate Word (Southland), UMass-Lowell (American East), Northern Kentucky (Horizon)
***
Note: All RPI and statistical data is used from WarrenNolan.com.
About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast has been projecting the field since 2005 and has finished as one of the top 5 national bracketologists for his website, Bracket W.A.G. He’s predicted for The Indianapolis Star, collegeinsider.com and is an inaugural member of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.
NCAA TOURNAMENT BUBBLE TEAMS
